IBM to Buy Red Hat for $34bn in "Software for the Cloud" Transaction - Cops 5% Loss on Stock Price, RH up 45%

IBM (NYSE:IBM, Beta 0.87, PE 20x) has confirmed it will pay $190 per share for Red Hat (NYSE:RHT, PE 77x - clearly will push up as people buy up the target), a 60% premium to the current stock price. IBM shares traded down 5% mid afternoon New York time, with some bounce back towards the close, and a traded volume of around 17.5 million (average volume is around 2m).

In terms of approvals, IBM already has the approval from the Boards of Directors of IBM and Red Hat. Shareholder and regulatory approvals are remaining now.

Key management include

• IBM CEO Virginia (Ginni) Rometty (a Computer Science and Electrical Engineering graduate from Northwestern)
• IBM CFO James Kavanaugh (appointed January 2018), also oversees Transformation and Operations. He has an MBA from Ohio State and joined IBM in 1996 from AT&T.
• Red Hat CEO Jim Whitehurst (a Computer Science and Economics graduate from Rice in Houston) who began his career at the Boston Consulting Group. He was also COO of Delta Air Lines for 6 years overseeing all aspects of Operations from Sales to Strategy.
• Red Hat CTO Chris Wright,  who has spent time working deep in the Linux kernel.

The focus of the acquisition is software for the cloud (Dell EMC was bigger at $67bn but that was both hardware and software).  This will allow IBM to tap into a market where they estimate 80 percent of business workloads have "yet to move to the cloud". Linux, containers, Kubernetes and multi-cloud management are all on the cards in the new world of IBM. "Open hybrid cloud" is the mantra of the deal.

The acquisition is designed to be free cash flow and gross margin accretive within 12 months. IBM has also expressed commitment to growing its dividend and maintaining strong investment grade credit ratings. It will target a leverage profile consistent with mid to high single A credit rating.

Jim Whitehurst stated that Red Hat is the leading open-source software business, with growth in 66 consecutive quarters, and could leverage IBM's scale and infrastructure and depth in customer relationships to continue its growth journey. He also mentioned that Red Hat and IBM have partnered over 20 years. Ginni Rometty stated "this lifts all boats for IBM" and that the deal prepares IBM for the "second chapter of the Cloud".