Lithium, a key raw material in batteries for electric vehicles, has fallen in price, with oversupply and a scaling back in EV production forecasts.
Lithium carbonate trades at around 95 000 CNY/tonne from around almost but not quite 500 000 CNY/tonne at the same point last year. Its absolute peak was in November 2022 at just over 600 000 CNY/tonne.
At the time of this update, 1 USD buys 7.18 CNY.
China is the world's largest electric vehicle market, where EV penetration continues to grow but at a slower rate. At the end of 2023, Goldman Sachs cited the trend in a report entitled "The Short Trade Must Go On" highlighting both supply and demand drivers.
For a good introduction to lithium's role in the energy transition, the following report from IRENA (the International Renewable Energy Agency) is worth reading.