The "near-term" contango in crude (specifically WTI) extends out to the "Q13" futures contract a.k.a. August 2013 (but which, as we know, expires in July), which peaks out at just over 94 and a half dollars. This contrasts with 94 dollars and 30 cents on the front month. After that, it's pure backwardation. Brent remains on pure backwardation.
Oil futures curves have relatively simple shapes. It's a bit of a different story in the gas market. For example, we might consider the "broad contango" in the price of NYMEX Natural Gas.
What we see is actually seasonality in the futures prices, reflecting seasonal demand, underpinned by a general upward trend. Mini-peaks are observed for delivery for Jan 14, Jan15 and Jan16, with the biggest jumps happening from November to December. After January prices drop off gradually, and then suddenly from March to April. Gas prices are rather weather-dependent. Current front month (June 13) NYMEX is around $4 and 7 cents per mmBtu, with an increasing general trend, with $4 and 37 cents for Dec13 (creating a 30 cent contango within the six months from July to December).
Oil futures curves have relatively simple shapes. It's a bit of a different story in the gas market. For example, we might consider the "broad contango" in the price of NYMEX Natural Gas.
What we see is actually seasonality in the futures prices, reflecting seasonal demand, underpinned by a general upward trend. Mini-peaks are observed for delivery for Jan 14, Jan15 and Jan16, with the biggest jumps happening from November to December. After January prices drop off gradually, and then suddenly from March to April. Gas prices are rather weather-dependent. Current front month (June 13) NYMEX is around $4 and 7 cents per mmBtu, with an increasing general trend, with $4 and 37 cents for Dec13 (creating a 30 cent contango within the six months from July to December).